Sunday, December 09, 2007

Before The NIE - Iran

Doing some research on a certain topic totally, and I mean totally differant, than this, I came across a report by Michael E. Salla, M.A., Ph.D.
November 7, 2007 posted at Campaign Against Sanctions and Military Intervention in Iran cross posted, from his site, America's Hero's Journey, titled The Neoconservative Agenda to Sacrifice the Fifth Fleet – The New Pearl Harbor.

Don't know if anyone caught this before, but my interest is the continuing growing questions I have about the lead up to what happened on 9/11 and all that has occurred since. I'm not one for conspiracies, but am one who questions what they read or hear, especially when it raises question after question, and nobody seems willing to really seek out All the answers!

Mr Salla has put together a well researched scenario of what the possibilities were with invation of Iran, that anyone with even a working knowledge of the Arms Trade Industry and that Region were putting some of the same together, maybe only in their minds, but were the realities.

Iran had the U.S. Military sitting on one side, Iraq, on another, Afganistan, and a growing fleet presence on another, the Persian Gulf Area, and a wanna be tough guy, reading others words, poorly, threatening them from Washington!

Mr Salla leads off with this:
The Bush administation has covered up and ignored dissenting Pentagon war games analysis that suggests an attack on Iran's nuclear or military facilities will lead directly to the annihilation of the Navy's Fifth Fleet now stationed in the Persian Gulf.


He goes on to describe the Fifth Fleet's Vulnerability to Iran's Anti-Ship Missile Arsenal:
The Enterprise has over 5000 Navy personnel, and on November 2, began participating in a Naval exercise in the Persian Gulf.


including a cut from this
Many years ago, Soviet planners gave up trying to match the US Navy ship for ship, gun for gun, and dollar for dollar. The Soviets simply could not compete with the high levels of US spending required to build up and maintain a huge naval armada. They shrewdly adopted an alternative approach based on strategic defense. They searched for weaknesses, and sought relatively inexpensive ways to exploit those weaknesses. The Soviets succeeded: by developing several supersonic anti-ship missiles, one of which, the SS-N-22 Sunburn, has been called "the most lethal missile in the world today."


Mr Salla links back to a GAO study on the US Navy's preparedness for anti-ship cruise missiles. And also to a military study in 2003.

Mr Salla has a number of links embedded in his report well worth the look see. He goes on to explain the Neo-Conservatives thought process, though I find their thoughts not really thought out, more in tune to an extremely short time line, with this chapter, The Neo-Conservative Strategy to Attack Iran

Starting out with this:
Neoconservatives share a political philosophy that US dominance of the international system as the world's sole superpower needs to be extended indefinitely into the 21st century. Part of the neoconservative agenda is to identify and overthrow states that are opposed to the current U.S. dominated international system.


Much of which many had already figured out long ago.

He goes on to explain his thoughts on First Attack Strategy, Second Attack Strategy, Third Attack Strategy into the Consequences of Iran being Attacked!

Now Iran, being like most on this planet, certainly are Not Going To 'First Strike' a power that is surrounding it with already based Military Might, even with being bogged down in the Quagmire of Iraq and Afganistan heating up daily!

But if the U.S., or even Israel, were to Strike at Iran, one needs not think to hard what their reaction might be, especially if they even had a passing thought as to the possibilities of a followup strike coming, causing more Death and Destruction!

And once again, they are pretty much surrounded by the U.S. Military, though not as overwelming in Afganistan. I would think they would not only Attempt to hit a U.S. Ship/Ships, but Bases and Troops in Iraq are not to be a distant thought, they're All in Range of Iranian Ordinance!

And if Israel were to Strike, what would they face? Not much unless Iran has long range capabilities unknown of.

But a Strike by either would Cause an Explosion of Hostilities throughout the Region, leading to attacks outside of the region, that's where Israel's Blowback would come from!

We have those in the region questioning the policies of this administration as reported yesterday in this Washington Post article.

LithiumCola has diary in the recommend on an L.A. Times report from today on the gutting of Intelligence gathering on Iran than the step up.


There has also been a report on CNN the past couple of days on the dealings between Iran and the U.S., not so long ago, that were, for the most part, the complete opposite of the recent rethoric coming out of Washington. Can't find a link to he report nor a video link of same.

There's only One Danger to this Planet, in the present, it's coming out of our own Capital and not just from the puppet but those pulling his strings and writing his words, as well as any others allied with them any where in this World!!

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